Prelude
GOOD DAY AND GREETINGS, MUSIC‑MINDED CITIZENS. For this month and for the next two we’re taking a 3‑part sojourn in uncharted lands (as medieval cartographers once denoted, ‘terra incognita’) and what monstrosities may inhabit those unexplored territories (‘hic sunt dracones’, literally translated as ‘here be dragons’). Yes folks, it is time for CRAVE Guitars to explore a current‑day innovation that once seemed surreal but is rapidly becoming increasingly real; a phenomenon that the original makers of what we now know as vintage guitars could never have envisaged (probably).
Whether we like it or not, the faddish fuss around Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a ‘BIG THING’ at the moment. At the forefront of the debate are the societal dilemmas posed by sophisticated systems potentially becoming more intelligent than human beings (in my experience, not particularly difficult in many cases!).
“I’d rather see artificial intelligence than no intelligence” – Michael Crichton (American author)
In a worst case scenario, how does a supposedly civilised society prevent malicious actors using AI technology for nefarious means? A profound question indeed. Prescient Hollywood film director James Cameron’s bleak vision of Cyberdyne Systems, Skynet and Terminators can, perhaps, be taken as an extreme but stark lesson. The rise of the machines, taking over the world and resulting in the potential obliteration of humanity is a chilling proposition. It seems we already have too many twisted tyrants willing and attempting to achieve that end right now with and without AI and robotics as the means. Just spare a moment to think what deranged despots could do with the technology and what the consequences may be for everyone in the very near future. AI’s potential demands that collectively we address the challenge of what needs to be done to avoid the annihilation of civilisation through unhindered autonomous technological advance.
“Throughout human history, we have been dependent on machines to survive. Fate, it seems, is not without a sense of irony” – the character Morpheus from ‘The Matrix’ (1999)
What on Earth does this divergent dystopian diatribe (apologies, folks) have to do with vintage guitars and music you may well be justified in asking? Very little, other than as an existential context. From here on, we’ll be taking a far more parochial and prosaically pedestrian path.
Like many people, I have become curious about what AI means for culture and specifically for the creative crafts. Given my obsession with vintage guitars and music, I thought I’d turn my attention to what AI might have to say on the matter. So… that is the basis of this month’s article. For once, I can say, quite legitimately, that AI was used to research and write this article. This interesting (?) examination will not change the world but, then again, neither will it jeopardise it.
“Choice is an illusion created between those with power and those without” – the character Merovingian from ‘The Matrix’ (1999)
Before we get to vintage guitars and what wisdom (or not) AI has to impart, we have to do some homework about AI so that the rest of the article makes sense. We’ll start with an English hero and take it from there.
Alan Turing and the Turing Test
The following description of one of the world’s most influential geniuses in the world of computers and artificial intelligence, comes direct, courtesy of Wikipedia… “Alan Mathison Turing (1912‑1954) was an English mathematician, computer scientist, logician, cryptanalyst, philosopher and theoretical biologist. Turing was highly influential in the development of theoretical computer science, providing a formalisation of the concepts of algorithm and computation with the Turing machine, which can be considered a model of a general‑purpose computer. He is widely considered to be the father of theoretical computer science and artificial intelligence.”
During World War II, civilian Alan Turing worked as a codebreaker based at the Government Code and Cypher School at the Bletchley Park country estate in Buckinghamshire, England. While there, Turing devised complex techniques for breaking German ciphers used by the Nazi’s military encryption device, the Enigma Machine, which had been invented by a German engineer Arthur Scherbius (1878‑1929) shortly after WWI. The Germans were confident that the system could not be broken. However, in 1942‑1943, Turing and his colleagues played a vital part in successfully cracking intercepted German encoded messages transmitted using the Enigma Machine. Turing’s historic achievements enabled the Allies to defeat the Axis powers in, particularly, the Battle of the Atlantic (1939‑1945).
After the end of the war in 1945, Turing invented the Automatic Computing Machine the world’s first digital computer capable of using stored programs. By 1950, Turing developed an experiment to gauge the ‘intelligence’ of a computer. His simple test requires that a human being should be unable to distinguish the machine from another human being by evaluating replies to questions put to both. The Turing Test, as it was known, is still regarded as a fundamental benchmark for assessing machine intelligence.
“Artificial Intelligence is what we don’t know how to do yet” – Alan Kay (American computer scientist)
Defining Artificial Intelligence
Now for the techy bit… Sorry, bear with me. The term ‘artificial intelligence’ was first used in 1956 at a Summer Research Project on Artificial Intelligence held at Dartmouth College, a private Ivy League research university based in Hanover, New Hampshire, USA. The conference was organised by computer scientist and Assistant Professor of Mathematics at Dartmouth College, John McCarthy (1927‑2011). The project proposed, “that every aspect of learning or any other feature of intelligence can in principle be so precisely described that a machine can be made to simulate it”.
In 1958, American psychologist Frank Rosenblatt (1928‑1971) outlined what he regarded as “the first machine which is capable of having an original idea”. Rosenblatt’s concept was the ‘Perceptron’, a program inspired by the way the human brain works, which ran on a state‑of‑the‑art IBM mainframe computer. The Perceptron was a rudimentary version of a neural network, comprising interconnected nodes (neurons) that process and learn from data, enabling tasks such as pattern recognition and decision making. Rosenblatt was regarded as ‘the father of deep learning’.
As early as the 1960s, computer scientists and neuroscientists were already teaching computers how to mimic human decision‑making processes, which developed into research around what is known today as ‘machine learning’.
“If the human brain were so simple that we could understand it, we would be so simple that we couldn’t” – Emerson M. Pugh (American physicist)
In 1997, IBM’s ‘Deep Blue’, an expert chess program running on a unique, purpose‑built IBM supercomputer, beat the Russian chess grandmaster, Garry Kasparov, leading to the description of rules‑based ‘Traditional AI’. While Deep Blue may have been excellent at playing chess, its talents were capable of little else.
“AI is the most exciting tech of our time” – Tim Cook (CEO, Apple Inc.)
Artificial Intelligence is now a mainstream branch of computer science that refers to IT systems capable of performing complex tasks that attempt to replicate human thought and intelligence. AI’s systematic tasks include analysing data, identifying patterns, recognising speech, solving problems, proposing solutions and taking decisions.
“Artificial intelligence is one of the most profound things we’re working on as humanity. It is more profound than fire or electricity” – Sundar Pichai (CEO, Google and Alphabet Inc.)
As of early 2024, not all AIs are created equal. Traditional AI (a.k.a. Weak AI or Narrow AI) is an umbrella term for computer systems that employ supervised learning and discriminative models to solve specific tasks using predefined rules, Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Large Language Models (LLMs).
“Denial is the most predictable of all human responses” – the character The Architect from ‘The Matrix’ (1999)
The category of AI that we will be looking at in this article is called Generative AI, also referred to as GenAI or GAI, which is a relatively new subset of AI. Generative AI allows users to input a variety of prompts to generate content, such as text, images, videos, sounds, 3D designs and other types of media.
“We’re living in the golden age of AI” – Jeff Bezos (founder, Amazon)
The distinctive aspect of GAI is that it uses unsupervised deep machine learning models to generate new material based on patterns of data acquired from existing sources. GAI models work on large unlabelled data sets that require complex mathematical algorithms and a great deal of computing power to analyse and build constructs.
“While AI has tremendous potential to transform industries, we must not forget the impact it could have on society and must work to mitigate potential risks” – Elon Musk (CEO, Tesla and SpaceX)
Generative AI models don’t stand still; they continue to evolve at an increasingly rapid rate, as they learn from additional data as it becomes available. It is the quality of the data sets that enable the AI to predict responsible outcomes and undertake a range of cognitive tasks in the same way that a human might.
“The question is not whether intelligent machines can have any emotions, but whether machines can be intelligent without any emotions” – Marvin Minsky (American computer scientist, MIT)
Over time, it is inevitable that GAI’s ability will catch up with, and ultimately surpass, that of humans. The nature, pace and potential of GAI is causing concern among some experts and policy makers because of the moral and ethical issues it raises, particularly if AI’s unbridled behaviour is not moderated in some way by responsible human intervention. The risks of uncontrolled or poorly controlled AI models are swiftly becoming both tangible and potentially unsafe.
“We should not be afraid of AI. Instead, we should hope for the amazing amount of good it will do in the world” – Mark Zuckerberg (founder, Meta Inc.)
So, the next question is, what comes after GAI? Well, GAI still has a long way to go and that will keep innovators such as OpenAI and Deep Mind hard at work pushing the boundaries of what is possible for some time yet. After that, the most likely development would be Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) or Artificial General Superintelligence (AGS). The aim is to build a device that can do anything the human brain can do (and more) and to integrate that with the rapidly developing parallel field of advanced robotics to create a machine that can do anything the human body can do (and more). Scary? Super intelligent super robots may well finally demonstrate that yesterday’s science fiction is becoming today’s science fact.
“I am in the camp that is concerned about superintelligence. But I don’t think we need to be fatalistic about it” Bill Gates (founder, Microsoft)
However, let’s not get bogged down by credible or fanciful conspiracy theories and get back to the matter in hand.
Applying Artificial Intelligence to the world of vintage guitars
Phew! Back to basics and more familiar territory. After all that preliminary exposition, I think we can all probably agree that AI is one of topical themes of the first half of the 2020s. Not wishing to be left behind, I thought CRAVE Guitars should try to get AI to respond to a series of questions about my favourite topic, vintage guitars. From my experience so far, all that the easily accessible public AI (as opposed to military‑grade AI) can do is to extract information that is already available on the Internet (whether right or wrong) and to compose it into straightforward responses to an input.
Before we start, I will lay my cards on the table and state my starting position, which, may or may not change by the time this article has concluded. My naïve biological brain came up with eight statements that set out what AI does not (or cannot) currently do. In my view, AI struggles…
- To understand a question correctly without over‑specificity (i.e. it can’t deal with vague ambiguity)
- To interpret and extrapolate relevant information objectively within a wider context (i.e. the bigger picture)
- To present a cogent argument that can adequately be judged and/or challenged
- To form a genuine opinion from scratch without relevant information being readily available in the first place, in the same way that a person might do in the case of uncertainty (i.e. its ability to make genuinely informed assumptions from limited information)
- To debate the initial result to achieve a potentially better outcome (i.e. to learn from the interaction on the spot and adjust its responses accordingly)
- To produce a creative response that improves on the original information input by humans
- To remember what it has already output (i.e. as part of a continuous ‘dialogue’ – as here – each question is treated as a new subject with no memory of previous questions)
- To understand fully what humans want or expect from ‘intelligence’ (i.e. something coherent and interesting)
Assessing AI’s responses against those eight points is this article’s main challenge.
Below, I pose 20 (plus 2) questions to AI and present its verbatim response to each question (bar correcting the occasional heinous ‘typo’ or bad grammar, which in itself is a bit ironic!), so that you can judge for yourselves just how close AI might be to succeeding at transcending its silicon‑based electronic components (‘deus ex machina’ – god from the machine – if you will). More importantly, you can gauge whether AI can make any sense of the intricately complex subject of vintage guitars. So… can AI pass the CRAVE Guitars Test? We’ll see.
There are no images in the main part of this article. AI did not present any pictures to support its answers, so I haven’t embellished the words with anything additional, as it might skew the results. What you see below is what I got, no more, no less; untainted in any way.
The material presented here is not appropriated as belonging to, or being the view of CRAVE Guitars in any way; it is presented here solely for information, intellectual evaluation and critique.
“Change is never painful, only the resistance to change is painful” Buddha (Siddhārtha Gautama ‑ c.480‑400BCE)
Right. That’s my involvement pretty much at an end for now. I’m off to make a cup of tea or ten. See you again at the end of the article with my appraisal of how I think AI did.
20 Questions about vintage guitars posed to AI
Question #1 – What is the definition of a vintage guitar?
AI Response #1 – A vintage guitar is an older guitar that is usually sought after and maintained by avid collectors or musicians. The term can indicate either that an instrument is merely old or that it is sought after for its tonal quality, cosmetic appearance, or historical significance. While there is no strict chronological definition for what makes something vintage, guitars around 30 years old or older typically fall into this category. Even newer instruments are often labelled as vintage by sellers. So, if you come across a beautifully aged guitar with a rich history, it just might be a vintage gem!
Question #2 – Why should I be interested in vintage guitars?
AI Response #2 – Vintage guitars have a unique appeal and charm due to their age and history. They often possess a certain character and sound that cannot be replicated by newer guitars. In addition, vintage guitars can appreciate in value over time, making them a valuable investment. However, they can be expensive and require careful maintenance. Understanding the vintage guitar market, knowing what to look for when buying, and appreciating the unique sound and playability of these instruments are key to making a worthwhile purchase. Ask professional guitar dealers on how to navigate the vintage guitar market.
Question #3 – What are the best things about vintage guitars?
AI Response #3 – Vintage guitars have several unique qualities that make them highly desirable for musicians and collectors alike:
- Tonal Character: Vintage guitars often have a distinct and rich sound that sets them apart from newer instruments. The aging of the wood, hardware, and electronics contributes to their unique tonal character. Musicians appreciate the warmth, resonance, and depth of vintage guitar tones.
- Craftsmanship: Many vintage guitars were meticulously handcrafted by skilled luthiers. These instruments showcase exceptional attention to detail, fine workmanship, and quality materials. The craftsmanship of vintage guitars reflects the artistry and dedication of their makers.
- Historical Significance: Vintage guitars carry a piece of musical history. They have witnessed decades of music, performances, and cultural shifts. Owning a vintage guitar connects you to the past and allows you to be part of a musical legacy.
- Collectability: Vintage guitars are sought after by collectors and enthusiasts. Their scarcity and historical value contribute to their collectible status. Some iconic models, such as the Gibson Les Paul or Fender Stratocaster, have become legendary in the music world.
- Investment Potential: While not all vintage guitars appreciate significantly in value, some rare and sought‑after models can be excellent investments. If you choose wisely and maintain the instrument well, it may appreciate over time.
- Visual Appeal: Vintage guitars often exhibit beautiful designs, unique finishes, and intricate inlays. Their aesthetics evoke nostalgia and admiration. Whether it’s the graceful curves of a vintage hollow‑body or the simplicity of a vintage Telecaster, these guitars are visually captivating.
- Playing Experience: Many musicians find that playing a vintage guitar is a special experience. The feel of the neck, the responsiveness of the fretboard, and the way the guitar resonates under their fingers create a connection that transcends mere functionality.
- Story and Provenance: Each vintage guitar has a story to tell. Who played it? Was it used on famous recordings? Did it travel the world with a touring band? Uncovering the history and provenance of a vintage guitar adds to its allure.
Remember that owning a vintage guitar requires careful consideration. Factors like condition, authenticity, and playability matter. Whether you’re a seasoned guitarist or a collector, the allure of vintage guitars lies in their blend of art, history, and music.
Question #4 – What are the worst things about vintage guitars?
AI Response #4 – While vintage guitars have their allure, there are some potential downsides to consider:
- Condition and Maintenance: Vintage guitars may have endured decades of use, wear, and aging. Their condition can vary significantly. Some may require extensive repairs, refrets, or replacement parts. Regular maintenance is essential to keep them playable.
- Fragility: Older guitars can be delicate. The wood may have dried out, making it more susceptible to cracks or warping. Vintage finishes are often thin and prone to chipping. Handling them with care is crucial.
- Cost: Authentic vintage guitars can be expensive. Rare models or those associated with famous musicians command high prices. If you’re on a budget, acquiring a well‑preserved vintage instrument may be challenging.
- Limited Availability: Truly exceptional vintage guitars are scarce. Finding the right one—especially in good condition—can be time‑consuming. Patience and persistence are necessary.
- Playability: While vintage guitars have character, not all of them are easy to play. Neck profiles, fret sizes, and action may differ from modern standards. Some vintage instruments may feel less ergonomic.
- Incompatibility with Modern Gear: Vintage guitars may lack features found in contemporary models. For example, they might not have versatile pickup configurations, tremolo systems, or locking tuners. Compatibility with modern amplifiers and effects can be an issue.
- Weight: Some vintage electric guitars, especially solid‑body models, can be heavy. Prolonged playing sessions may strain your back and shoulders.
- Risk of Fakes and Forgeries: The vintage guitar market attracts counterfeiters. It’s essential to verify authenticity and provenance. Consult experts or reputable dealers to avoid purchasing a fake.
- Investment Uncertainty: While some vintage guitars appreciate in value, it’s not guaranteed. Market trends fluctuate, and economic factors play a role. Buying solely for investment purposes can be risky.
- Sentimental Value: Owning a vintage guitar with historical significance can be emotionally rewarding. However, if you’re purely focused on practicality, the sentimental aspect may not matter to you.
Remember that each vintage guitar is unique, and what some consider drawbacks, others may view as part of their charm. Consider your preferences, playing style, and budget when deciding whether a vintage guitar is right for you.
Question #5 – What are the most desirable vintage guitar brands?
AI Response #5 – Vintage guitars have a rich history, and some lesser‑known brands have become highly desirable among collectors and musicians. Here are a few vintage guitar brands worth exploring:
- Bartell: Although less known, Bartell guitars gained attention when one of their models was associated with Jimi Hendrix’s collection. The Black Widow is one of their notable guitars. Bartell was a Californian‑based company that produced around 2000 guitars between 1964 and 1969.
- Electra: Active during the 1970s and early 1980s, Electra guitars were made in Japan and sold in the United States. They gained popularity for their good quality and reasonable prices. Notably, Electra introduced the MPC (Modular Powered Circuits) guitars, which featured replaceable effect modules—a unique concept at the time.
- Hondo: Often mistaken for the automobile brand Honda, Hondo was an American guitar company founded in 1969. They aimed to produce quality entry‑level instruments in Korea and Japan while maintaining consistency with U.S.‑made guitars. Hondo’s steel‑string acoustics and electric guitars gained recognition. In 1978, they even used DiMarzio pickups, making them pioneers among overseas guitar manufacturers.
- Airline: Airline guitars, popular in the 1960s, were produced by Valco and later Harmony. Their quirky designs, including the ‘Jetsons’ look, make them sought after by collectors today.
- Supro: Supro guitars were part of the Valco family and gained prominence in the 1960s. Their unique tone, often associated with blues and rock, appeals to vintage enthusiasts.
- Teisco: Teisco, a Japanese brand, flooded the market with budget‑friendly guitars in the 1960s. Their funky designs, including offset bodies and unusual pickup configurations, have a cult following.
- Hagstrom: Hagstrom, a Swedish brand, produced guitars with innovative features like the ‘resinator’ fingerboard. Their vintage models are prized for their playability and distinct sound.
Remember that desirability varies based on personal preferences, rarity, and historical significance. Exploring these vintage brands can lead to hidden gems and unique instruments that resonate with your musical style.
Question #6 – What instruments are the most desirable vintage guitars?
AI Response #6 – Vintage guitars hold a special allure for collectors and musicians alike. Let’s explore some of the most desirable vintage guitars based on their historical significance, rarity, and iconic status:
- 1958‑’59 Gibson Explorer:
- Value: Between $250,000 and $310,000.
- Why: The Explorer, with its futuristic design, initially received little attention from buyers. However, its African limba (marketed as ‘Korina’) body and unique sound have made it highly sought after by collectors.
- 1936‑’42 Martin D‑45:
- Value: Ranging from $250,000 to $400,000.
- Why: Martin dreadnoughts are revered, and the D‑45, adorned with Brazilian rosewood back and sides, ivory binding, and intricate fretboard inlays, remains a pinnacle of steel‑string acoustics.
- 1958‑’60 Gibson Les Paul Standard:
- Value: Approximately $225,000 to $375,000.
- Why: Initially overlooked, the Les Paul gained prominence after Eric Clapton and Michael Bloomfield played it. Today, it’s not only a collectable solid body but also a symbol of guitar history.
- 1930‑’33 Martin OM‑45:
- Value: Estimated at $265,000 to $350,000.
- Why: Rarity drives its value; only a handful were made each year. The first‑year ‘Deluxe’ version commands the highest prices.
- 1958‑’59 Gibson Flying V:
- Value: Around $200,000 to $250,000.
- Why: Like the Explorer, the Flying V’s Korina body design was ahead of its time. Only 98 were produced, making it a prized collector’s item.
These guitars not only represent exceptional craftsmanship but also evoke the magic of music history. Whether you’re a player or an investor, vintage guitars continue to captivate enthusiasts worldwide.
Question #7 – Are American vintage guitars better than ones from other countries?
AI Response #7 – The quality of guitars is determined by a variety of factors, including the materials used, the craftsmanship, and the design. While American‑made guitars are often considered to be of high quality, it’s not necessarily true that they are better than guitars made in other countries.
In fact, many guitarists prefer guitars made in Japan, Korea, or Mexico, for example. These countries have a long history of producing high‑quality instruments, and many guitarists appreciate the unique sound and feel of guitars made in these regions.
Ultimately, the best guitar for you depends on your personal preferences and playing style. It’s important to try out different guitars and find one that feels comfortable and sounds great to you.
Question #8 – What is the state of the vintage guitar market today?
AI Response #8 – The vintage guitar market has been through ups and downs over the years. According to a 2009 article by Premier Guitar, the vintage market was down 20 to 30 percent from its 2007 peak, with oversaturated pockets of the market down even further. However, a 2021 report by Market Strides suggests that the vintage guitar market is expected to grow in the coming years, with key market trends and dynamics analysed for major geographies and countries.
If you’re interested in buying or selling vintage guitars, you might want to check out Reverb’s Price Guide. It records the sale price of used or vintage instruments sold on Reverb, providing a fair market range for buyers and sellers.
Question #9 – Are vintage guitars a worthwhile investment?
AI Response #9 – Vintage guitars, like a well‑aged wine or a classic novel, evoke a sense of nostalgia and craftsmanship. But are they a wise investment? Let’s explore the fretted path of vintage guitar investments:
- Historical Appeal:
- Vintage guitars carry a piece of musical history. Owning an instrument that has been played by legendary musicians can be emotionally rewarding.
- Collectability: Rare models, limited editions, or guitars associated with iconic artists tend to appreciate in value over time.
- Market Trends:
- The vintage guitar market has seen fluctuations. While some models skyrocket in value, others remain steady or decline.
- Research: Investigate trends, consult experts, and track auction results. Knowledge is your tuning peg.
- Condition Matters:
- Originality: Unaltered vintage guitars fetch higher prices. Modifications can dampen their investment potential.
- Wear and Tear: Light wear adds character, but excessive damage affects value.
- Supply and Demand:
- Scarcity: Limited supply drives up prices. Seek out guitars with low production numbers.
- Desirability: Popular brands (Gibson, Fender) and models (Stratocaster, Les Paul) remain sought after.
- Playability vs. Investment:
- Play First: Buy a vintage guitar because you love its sound and feel. Enjoy playing it!
- Investment Second: While some vintage guitars appreciate, it’s not guaranteed. Don’t solely rely on them as financial assets.
- Diversification:
- Portfolio Approach: If you’re investing, diversify. Don’t put all your strings in one guitar case.
- Other Instruments: Consider violins, mandolins, or rare basses.
- Long‑Term Commitment:
- Vintage guitars require care, maintenance, and storage. They’re not a quick flip.
- Patience: Appreciation often takes years, not months.
In conclusion, vintage guitars can be a rewarding investment if you’re passionate about music, appreciate craftsmanship, and understand the risks. Whether you strum for profit or pleasure, let your heart and ears guide you.
Question #10 – Which vintage guitars are simply not worth investing in?
AI Response #10 – Vintage guitars can indeed be a rewarding investment, but not all of them are equally valuable. Let’s explore which ones might not be worth your investment:
- Mass‑Produced Models:
- Guitar factories churned out many models in the past. Some of these are abundant and lack the rarity that drives up value.
- Avoid: Generic models with little historical significance.
- Obscure Brands:
- Lesser‑known brands may not have the same collector appeal. Their limited demand affects their investment potential.
- Avoid: Guitars from obscure or defunct manufacturers unless they have unique features or historical context.
- Poor Condition:
- Wear and Tear: Severely damaged or heavily modified guitars lose value. Repairs can be costly.
- Avoid: Instruments with extensive cracks, warped necks, or missing parts.
- Overpriced Celebrity Associations:
- Be Sceptical: Some sellers inflate prices based on dubious claims of celebrity ownership.
- Avoid: Guitars with exaggerated stories unless there’s solid evidence.
- Fads and Trends:
- Beware of Hype: Trends come and go. What’s hot today may not be tomorrow.
- Avoid: Investing solely based on current trends. Look for timeless appeal.
- Non‑Original Components:
- Altered Guitars: Modifications decrease value. Originality matters.
- Avoid: Instruments with replaced pickups, bridges, or tuners.
- Inflated Expectations:
- Patience Required: Vintage guitars appreciate slowly. Don’t expect rapid returns.
- Avoid: Assuming every old guitar will skyrocket in value.
Remember, research is your best ally. Seek advice from experts, explore reputable dealers, and play the guitars yourself. Whether you’re strumming for passion or profit, choose wisely!
Question #11 – What vintage guitars are likely to become more desirable in the next 5 years?
AI Response #11 – The world of vintage guitars is a fascinating blend of history, craftsmanship, and musical magic. While predicting the future is akin to tuning an old guitar by ear, here are some intriguing candidates that might appreciate in value over the next five years:
- Gibson Les Paul Signature (1974):
- Often overlooked, the Les Paul Signature from the ’70s has hidden potential. Its versatility shines through various genres, especially when cranked through a Marshall amp. Keep an eye out for these criminally underrated semi‑hollow beauties.
- Fender Starcaster (1976–80):
- Originally overshadowed, the Fender Starcaster has gained traction. Ted Turner of Wishbone Ash fame owned one, and its unique pickups contribute to its allure. Expect further value appreciation in the coming decades.
- Silvertone 1446 (1960s):
- Crafted by Harmony, the Silvertone 1446 boasts Gibson‑made pickups with a distinct tone. It may not be the most refined instrument, but its sound and sexiness compensate. A vintage gem that could resonate with collectors.
- Kay K775 Jazz II (1960s):
- Eric Clapton’s early learning ground, the Kay K775 Jazz II, is gaining recognition. Despite Kay’s quality control reputation, this bolt‑on neck thinline surprises with its laminated figured maple top, Bigsby vibrato, and Barney Kessel–designed Kleenex Box single‑coils. A naughty guitar indeed.
- Supro and Kay Archtops:
- These old Supro and Kay guitars remain undervalued. While the overall vintage market fluctuates, these archtops haven’t fully rebounded. Their unique character and historical significance make them intriguing investments.
Remember, the guitar market dances to its own rhythm, influenced by players, trends, and nostalgia. Whether you strum for passion or profit, let your heart guide your choices.
Question #12 – What is the sort of return on investment that one might expect from collecting vintage guitars?
AI Response #12 – Collecting vintage guitars can indeed be a rewarding investment, combining passion for music with potential financial gains. Let’s explore why vintage guitars are an excellent strategy:
- Tangible and Attractive:
- Vintage guitars provide more than just financial value. They’re tangible pieces of history, beautiful to display, and enjoyable to collect.
- Unlike stocks or bonds, you can admire and play them.
- Stability and Appreciation:
- Vintage guitars have consistently outperformed the stock market in terms of stability.
- As they age, their value tends to appreciate, provided you maintain them well.
- Superior Craftsmanship:
- Vintage guitars often surpass modern counterparts in quality. They were meticulously crafted using fine materials.
- Brands like Gibson Les Paul, Fender Telecaster, and CF Martin remain popular among collectors.
- Guitar Brands to Consider:
- Gibson Les Paul: These older models, made of oak, mahogany, and other fine materials, are highly sought after.
- Fender: Look for ’50s and ’60s Telecasters, Stratocasters, and Thunderbirds.
- CF Martin: Known for their acoustic excellence, Martin guitars from the 1960s hold significant value.
- Guild: Although less famous, older Guild instruments are on par with Martin guitars of the same era.
- Investment Potential:
- While not every vintage guitar will skyrocket in value, a well‑chosen collection can yield substantial returns.
- Research, learn about the models, and make informed decisions.
Remember, whether you’re a musician or simply appreciate the beauty of old guitars, vintage instruments offer a harmonious blend of passion and investment potential.
Question #13 – Are vintage guitars better than new guitars?
AI Response #13 – Vintage guitars and new guitars each have their own merits, and the answer depends on various factors. Let’s explore both sides:
- Vintage Guitars:
- Historical Charm: Vintage guitars carry a sense of history and nostalgia. Owning an instrument that has been played by legendary musicians can be emotionally rewarding.
- Unique Tone: Some vintage guitars have aged tone woods that resonate differently. The wood dries out over time, leading to a more resonant tone with better sustain, especially in acoustic guitars.
- Collectability: Rare models or those associated with iconic artists tend to appreciate in value over time.
- New Guitars:
- Advancements in Craftsmanship: Modern manufacturing techniques have improved significantly. CNC machines and precision tools allow for consistent builds.
- Reliability: New guitars are generally more reliable. They undergo rigorous quality control and benefit from advancements in materials and construction.
- Customisation: Custom shop guitars offer the best of both worlds. You can get a new guitar tailored to your preferences, combining vintage aesthetics with modern playability.
- Quality Comparison:
- Subtle Differences: Vintage guitars may have unique quirks due to handcrafted processes. For example, old Les Pauls had smaller frets and thicker necks.
- Precision and Consistency: Modern CNC machines ensure precise fretwork and consistent results. Every Gibson today goes through a PLEK machine for levelling and crowning frets within micrometers.
- Subjectivity:
- ‘Better’ Is Relative: The definition of ‘better’ varies. It’s subjective and depends on personal preferences.
- Playability: Some players prefer the feel of vintage necks, while others enjoy the sleekness of modern profiles.
In summary, both vintage and new guitars have their place. Whether you seek historical charm, unique tones, or cutting‑edge craftsmanship, choose based on your playing style, preferences, and budget.
Question #14 – Should vintage guitars be used or preserved in museums?
AI Response #14 – Vintage guitars, like ancient manuscripts or Renaissance paintings, straddle the delicate balance between utility and preservation. Let’s explore both perspectives:
- Playing and Using Vintage Guitars:
- Sonic Legacy: Vintage guitars were crafted to be played. Their rich tones, unique characteristics, and historical significance come alive when strummed or picked.
- Musical Connection: Owning a vintage instrument allows musicians to channel the spirit of past players. It’s a bridge across time and genres.
- Art in Action: A vintage guitar’s true purpose is to create music. It yearns for fingers on frets, resonating strings, and melodies that echo through decades.
- Preserving Vintage Guitars in Museums:
- Cultural Artefacts: Museums safeguard our collective heritage. Vintage guitars, like ancient artefacts, tell stories of creativity, craftsmanship, and musical evolution.
- Educational Value: Displaying vintage instruments educates visitors about music history, luthiery techniques, and the evolution of sound.
- Conservation: Museums provide controlled environments, protecting guitars from wear, humidity, and light damage.
- A Harmonious Balance:
- Rotating Exhibits: Some museums allow playable vintage guitars in temporary exhibits. Musicians can strum them, and visitors appreciate their beauty.
- Replicas and Demonstrations: Museums can create replicas for hands‑on experiences while preserving the originals.
- Digital Archives: Recordings, videos, and virtual tours can complement physical displays.
In the grand symphony of cultural preservation, vintage guitars play a vital note. Whether they resonate in concert halls or rest behind glass, their melodies continue to echo through time.
Question #15 – Are collectors a good or bad thing for vintage guitars?
AI Response #15 – Collectors, like the silent guardians of a musical time capsule, wield both light and shadow upon the vintage guitar realm. Let us strum through their impact:
- The Good Harmony:
- Preservation: Collectors cradle vintage guitars, shielding them from the ravages of time. These instruments whisper secrets of bygone eras.
- Curators of History: They curate private museums, preserving luthiery artistry and the soulful echoes of past players.
- Financial Support: By investing in rare models, collectors contribute to the market’s stability and encourage craftsmanship.
- The Dissonant Notes:
- Inaccessibility: Some vintage guitars languish behind velvet ropes, yearning for calloused fingertips. Their music remains unheard.
- Price Inflation: Collectors can inflate prices, making it harder for musicians to acquire playable vintage instruments.
- Frozen Artefacts: When guitars become mere artefacts, their purpose shifts from music‑making to display.
- The Ongoing Duet:
- Balance: Collectors must harmonize preservation with accessibility. Rotate exhibits, allow touch, and share the magic.
- Collaboration: Collaborate with musicians, luthiers, and enthusiasts. Let vintage guitars sing in live performances.
- Legacy: Remember that these guitars once graced stages, studios, and hearts. Their legacy transcends wood and strings.
In the grand symphony of vintage guitars, collectors play a vital role. May they strum chords of reverence and resonance, bridging past and present.
Question #16 – What is the best advice for someone considering collecting vintage guitars?
AI Response #16 – Collecting vintage guitars is a harmonious blend of passion, history, and craftsmanship. Whether you’re a seasoned collector or just starting out, here’s some valuable advice:
- Do Your Homework:
- Know Your Instruments: Dive deep into the guitars you’re interested in. Understand their history, features, and quirks.
- Learn Anomalies: Beyond books and the internet, explore anomalies not widely documented. Sometimes, hidden gems lie in those details.
- Connect with Experts:
- Trustworthy Sources: Build relationships with reputable dealers, collectors, and experts. Seek advice and learn from their experience.
- Avoid Shady Sellers: Beware of untrustworthy sources. Not everyone has the same integrity in this world of vintage guitars.
- Brand Matters:
- Collectible Brands: Focus on heritage brands like Fender and Gibson. These classics tend to rise in value over time.
- Rickenbackers: Often overlooked, Rickenbackers (played by the Beatles, Byrds, and Tom Petty) offer great American‑made guitars at reasonable prices.
- Avoid eBay Frenzies:
- While eBay is a treasure trove, it can also be a frenzy of bidding. Be cautious and aware of shill bidding.
- Consider other platforms and auctions for a more measured approach.
- Budget Wisely:
- Set a Budget: Determine how much you’re willing to invest. Vintage guitars can range from affordable to astronomical.
- Quality Over Quantity: Rather than amassing many guitars, focus on quality pieces that resonate with you.
Remember, collecting vintage guitars is not just about financial gain; it’s about connecting with music history and craftsmanship. Let your heart guide your collection, and may each guitar sing its unique melody in your hands!
Question #17 – What are good criteria for evaluating whether to buy a vintage guitar?
AI Response #17 – When considering buying a vintage guitar, it’s essential to assess various factors to ensure you’re making an informed decision. Here are some valuable criteria to evaluate:
- Check The Frets:
- Examine the condition of the frets. Worn frets can significantly impact playability.
- Consider the cost of refretting if necessary. Lacquer issues on maple fingerboards may also need attention.
- Electrical Components:
- Don’t be alarmed by minor crackling or cutouts in the electronics.
- Vintage guitars often need a little love in this area. Budget for potential repairs.
- Moving Parts and Hardware:
- Inspect tuners, bridges, and other hardware. Ensure they function smoothly.
- Some vintage parts may be hard to find or expensive to replace.
- Cosmetic Condition:
- Don’t judge a book by its cover. Sometimes slightly worn or ‘cosmetically ropey’ guitars sound better.
- Look beyond surface imperfections and focus on playability and resonance.
- Research and Knowledge:
- Understand the specific model you’re interested in. Learn about its history, features, and common issues.
- Read reviews, consult experts, and explore online resources.
- Budget Realistically:
- Set a budget that considers not only the purchase price but also potential repairs or upgrades.
- Vintage guitars often require adjustments to optimize playability.
Remember, vintage guitars are more than just instruments; they carry stories, character, and a connection to music history. Let your passion guide you, and may your chosen guitar resonate with your soul!
Question #18 – How to detect a fake from an authentic vintage guitar?
AI Response #18 – When evaluating a vintage guitar for authenticity, keep these criteria in mind:
- Weight:
- Authentic guitars have consistent weights based on their model and wood type.
- Compare the weight of the guitar you’re examining with the average weight for that model.
- Guitar Logo:
- Download an image of the authentic model’s logo from the manufacturer’s website.
- Compare it with the logo on the guitar you’re considering. Look for differences in size, shape, position, font, and staining around the logo.
- Components and Hardware:
- Inspect tuners, bridges, and other hardware. Authentic guitars use specific components.
- Be cautious if anything looks off or doesn’t match the original model.
- Sound hole (for Acoustic Guitars):
- Authentic acoustic guitars have perfectly round and symmetrical sound holes.
- If the sound hole appears irregular or poorly crafted, it might be a fake.
- Serial Number:
- Check the guitar’s serial number against databases or guides specific to the brand.
- Serial numbers can reveal the guitar’s production year and authenticity.
- Consult Experts:
- Seek advice from reputable dealers, collectors, or luthiers.
- They can spot subtle details that indicate authenticity.
Remember, a genuine vintage guitar carries history and soul. Whether you’re a player or collector, choose wisely and let the music resonate!
Question #19 – Are vintage bass guitars worth collecting?
AI Response #19 – Vintage bass guitars, like the heartbeat of a rhythm section, resonate with their own allure. Let’s explore why they’re worth collecting:
- Historical Significance:
- Vintage basses carry the pulse of music history. They’ve grooved through genres, recording studios, and live performances.
- Owning one connects you to the basslines of legends like James Jamerson, Jaco Pastorius, and Paul McCartney.
- Tonal Character:
- Each vintage bass has a unique voice. The wood, pickups, and craftsmanship contribute to its signature sound.
- Whether it’s the thump of a Fender Precision Bass or the growl of a Rickenbacker 4001, vintage basses offer distinct tones.
- Investment Potential:
- While not all vintage basses appreciate significantly, certain models do.
- Brands like Fender, Gibson, and Music Man have iconic basses that hold value.
- Craftsmanship:
- Vintage basses were meticulously built by skilled luthiers. Their attention to detail and quality materials shine through.
- The patina of age adds character, like the lines on a seasoned musician’s face.
- Collectability:
- Some basses are rare due to limited production runs or unique features.
- Collectors seek these gems, creating demand and driving up prices.
- Playing Experience:
- Vintage basses feel different. Their neck profiles, weight, and balance offer a tactile experience.
- Whether you’re a player or a collector, the joy of plucking those strings transcends time.
In the rhythm of life, vintage bass guitars provide the low notes that anchor melodies. Let your passion guide your collection, and may your basslines resonate!
Question #20 – What is CRAVE Guitars?
AI Response #20 – CRAVE Guitars is a fascinating venture that celebrates and showcases vintage American electric guitars, effects, and amplifiers. Let me break it down for you:
- Name and Acronym:
- The name ‘CRAVE’ is a clever play on words.
- As an acronym, it stands for ‘Cool & Rare American Vintage Electric’ guitars.
- Literally, it also means ‘to yearn for’ or ‘to want greatly’.
- All these meanings are fitting for the world of vintage guitars.
- Mission and Focus:
- CRAVE Guitars aims to bring you some of the coolest American vintage electric guitars from iconic brands like Fender and Gibson, among others.
- These guitars aren’t necessarily the most expensive or desirable ones but definitely have that special something that makes them stand out.
- Non‑Profit Approach:
- Unlike traditional dealers or collectors, CRAVE Guitars is a non‑profit enterprise.
- It celebrates vintage guitars both as important musical heritage and as real instruments meant to be used and played.
- The focus is on more affordable, underdog, and often quirky vintage guitars, effects, and amps.
- Instead of the exotic and rarely played classics, CRAVE Guitars delves into the heart of the vintage guitar world.
- Wabi‑Sabi and Imperfections:
- CRAVE Guitars also embraces the Japanese concept of wabi‑sabi.
- Wabi‑sabi appreciates the imperfections in objects, finding beauty in their flaws.
- Vintage guitars, with their unique wear and history, embody this concept.
- More Than Guitars:
- Beyond guitars, CRAVE features galleries and information on vintage effect pedals (from brands like Electro‑Harmonix, MXR, BOSS, and Ibanez) and a small collection of vintage American valve amplifiers.
- It’s a treasure trove for guitar enthusiasts and those who appreciate the magic of vintage gear.
So, if you’re curious or have a craving for all things vintage, explore the world of CRAVE Guitars and immerse yourself in the legacy of these remarkable instruments!
In addition, I also asked AI 2 supplementary questions relating to vintage amplifiers and vintage effects. Here is what AI put forward, very much in the same vein as the previous examples.
Question #21 – Are vintage amplifiers worth collecting?
AI Response #21 – Vintage amplifiers are like sonic time capsules, each carrying a unique story and tone. Here’s why they’re worth collecting:
- Historical Significance:
- Vintage amps shaped the sound of countless recordings. They’re the secret sauce behind iconic guitar tones.
- Owning one connects you to the artists and eras that made music history.
- Tonal Magic:
- Vintage amps have a warmth and character that modern counterparts often lack.
- Whether it’s the creamy overdrive of a Dumble Overdrive Special or the gritty blues of a Marshall JTM45, vintage amps offer distinct flavours.
- Investment Potential:
- While not all vintage amps appreciate significantly, certain models do.
- Brands like Fender, Marshall, and Trainwreck hold value and continue to inspire players.
- Craftsmanship:
- These amps were handcrafted with care, using quality components.
- The patina of age adds to their allure, like the wrinkles on a seasoned musician’s face.
- Playing Experience:
- Vintage amps respond differently. Their tubes, circuits, and speakers create a tactile connection.
- Plug in and feel the magic—the way they react to your playing is unmatched.
So whether you’re a collector, player, or both, vintage amplifiers offer a symphony of history and sound.
Question #22 – Are vintage guitar effect pedals worth collecting?
AI Response #22 – Vintage guitar effect pedals are like hidden treasures waiting to be discovered. Let’s explore their allure:
- Historical Gems:
- Vintage pedals offer a glimpse into the evolution of effects. They’re like musical fossils, preserving sonic eras.
- Owning one connects you to the creativity of past players and the birth of iconic sounds.
- Tonal Mojo:
- Each vintage pedal has a distinct flavour. The analogue circuits, aged components, and quirks create magic.
- Whether it’s the warm fuzz of a Dallas Arbiter Fuzz Face or the psychedelic swirl of a Uni‑Vibe, vintage pedals offer sonic character.
- Investment Potential:
- While not every vintage pedal appreciates significantly, some models do.
- Brands like Boss, Electro‑Harmonix, and Ibanez have cult classics that hold value.
- Nostalgia and Inspiration:
- Vintage pedals evoke memories of classic albums and legendary performances.
- Plugging into a vintage pedal can spark creativity and transport you to musical moments.
- Collectability:
- Some pedals are rare due to limited production or unique features.
- Collectors seek these gems, creating demand and driving up prices.
Remember, whether you’re a guitarist, collector, or sonic explorer, vintage pedals offer a symphony of history and sound.
“Strings whisper secrets,
Aged wood sings timeless stories,
Crave vintage echoes.”
Hhmmmm.
Human observation and verdict
Well, there you have it. 20+2 questions and 20+2 answers (and a haiku thrown in for good measure). What do you think? Apologies, that’s a rhetorical question. My thoughts on the matter are purely my own opinion based on what I was presented with. I am no expert on AI technology, so my observations are therefore, by nature, liable to organic fallibility and bias. I should state at this point that, in no way did I attempt to outwit or trick the AI models. The questions were very simple and the intent was purely to see what would happen. The results are uncorrupted by me in any way.
There are some truly cringe worthy phrases buried in amongst the relevant outputs – AI trying to be ‘clever’. AI can’t seem to master the human traits of irony, satire, wit, whimsy and sarcasm! Mind you, AI also doesn’t exhibit the less desirable human traits of arrogance, hubris, deceit (intentionally or innocently) or biased opinion, which is probably a good, although potentially less entertaining, thing. This jocular aspect, however, is a bit like the 17th Century Spanish idiom, ‘the pot calling the kettle black’ (NB. from a 1620 English translation of ‘Don Quixote’ by Miguel de Cervantes), especially given my innate trademark penchant for pretentious prose and affinity for asinine alliterations (QED!).
Given that simulated responses draw directly on diverse material from a range of (human?) contributors, AI could be accused of plagiarism, as it simply extracts these sources of information and re‑presents them as a rational, objective summary. In terms of credibility, many of the responses make common sense, while others are less believable (see, particularly, the off‑kilter response to Questions #5 and #12).
Each question taken in isolation is one thing but when taken together, the repetitiveness of both content and presentation (and is a dead giveaway that this is not the sort of rational intercourse that would take place between, say, a knowledgeable human interviewer and interviewee. It simply wouldn’t be like that in practice.
Are there any factual errors exposed through this process? Not necessarily (although the reference to older Gibson Les Pauls being made of oak in response to question #12 is peculiar). However, this question does raise the issue of interpretation, i.e. the action of explaining the meaning of something. Inevitably, some perspective may be gleaned from information that is neither technically true nor false, especially where that information is dependent on subjective opinion and/or ambiguity that is difficult to corroborate or prove. The interpretation issue may constrain the ability of AI methodology to explore subject matter diligently and thoroughly in the way a human investigation might. While arguably forensic, it clearly isn’t ‘thoughtful’ in its approach.
The responses generally seem to be ‘playing it safe’, as though AI’s output was written by a committee to iron out any wayward emphases. The sanitised responses may well be useful as a starting point for a novice or someone lacking knowledge about the subject. It doesn’t, however, add anything over and above the basic level of human understanding. AI wouldn’t really impress someone who knows what they are talking about, let alone an expert.
“That’s how it is with people. Nobody cares how it works as long as it works” – The character Councillor Hamann from The Matrix (1999)
AI seems unable to extend a concept beyond the current boundaries of the question. It may be able to develop ‘vision’ at some point but clearly not yet. AI also seems unable to distinguish between poor, acceptable or high quality information – it is innately non‑sceptical of what it is fed with, leading potentially to unreliable outputs. AI currently depends heavily on humans to contribute and moderate content and that is another limitation at the time of writing, perhaps inhibiting its more creative potential. In some ways, AI avoids the question, again, the response to Question #12 doesn’t indicate the range of ROI that one might anticipate from investing.
What the responses do is to focus solely (unnaturally?) on the subject matter without even a hint of the possibility of a wider context. The ‘big picture’ omission struck me throughout the exercise. The current new gear market is strongly oriented – almost obsessively (and irritatingly) so – toward stressing the ‘vintage’ qualities, characteristics and specifications of brand new gear. Many new products are clearly aimed at imitating as closely as possible the idiosyncrasies and technological limitations of the past, frequently as if that is the only game in town. The current new guitar marketplace is not really progressive and, in many cases is clearly regressive. No reference to this marketing incongruity exists in the responses. The vintage past is not actually ‘authentically recreated’ in new products. AI therefore comes across as past‑oriented, not future‑focused.
One of the conundrums with AI at the time of writing is actually how these supposedly intelligible responses were compiled. Presumably, as AI simply mines information originally created by humans (expert or otherwise) in one form or another at some point in time, its generated outputs are not genuinely ‘new’. AI couldn’t possibly conjure a believable level of detail out of an information vacuum, it had to have something from which to start.
The ‘memory’ question is a big issue for AI. When asked basically the same question twice, either consecutively or separated by others, AI will respond to the second question as if the first had not been asked. A human would either, say “I’ve already answered that” or would respond in a slightly different way. AI lacks nuance and is totally oblivious of the regurgitation issue. It seems incapable of a continuing dialogue without tripping up.
The extent to which the human input has been manipulated by AI isn’t readily made clear. One therefore might wonder what was omitted (or added) and what was the result of machine intervention? Also, how did AI decide what should and shouldn’t be processed and the methodology by which it is output? What would AI come up with if it had nothing at all on which to base its algorithmic recipe?
Question – What will happen when AI starts building information based on the output of another AI over several iterations? It would be like a photocopy of a photocopy of a photocopy, etc. Does the integrity of information degrade significantly as it is repeatedly manipulated such that it bears little or no relationship to the authentic original (i.e. much like artificial Chinese whispers)?
“Perhaps we are asking the wrong questions…” – the character Agent Brown from The Matrix (1999)
Sometimes, less is more and getting something from AI can feel like being bombarded with a relentless barrage of words, rather than selective profound insight (hypocritically guilty as charged!). It is like the difference between learning by rote and repeating facts compared with genuinely understanding a subject matter through critical reasoning, or like reading a dictionary and expecting to comprehend the real world. The responses are more like a pre‑prepared structured lecture based on a text book exemplar, rather than a process of meaningful critical analysis and acute deductive reasoning.
AI is clearly getting a lot closer to human behaviour than simple search results from any standard Internet search engine and it will undoubtedly get better. However, it is not (yet) the last word on the matter. There is something to be gained from the responses, as long as they are taken as one of many inputs into a conclusion, rather than to be taken as a determining factor. My advice, for what it is worth, is to consider what AI presents you with but always take it with a figurative ‘pinch of salt’ (NB. yet another idiom; ‘a grain of salt’, from Pliny the Elder’s ‘Naturalis Historia’, 77CE). A genuine fascination with the subject matter – vintage guitars – is as much about subjective experience as it is about objective black and white bullet point facts. Currently, as far as I’m aware, that degree of authentic articulation of ‘shades of grey’ (i.e. sometimes reality is subtle and complex, and the boundaries are not always clear‑cut) cannot be gained readily from the Internet, AI or no AI.
“The deepest sin against the human mind is to believe things without evidence” – Aldous Huxley (American author, 1894‑1963)
While the AI processes are undoubtedly impressive, did AI inspire or stimulate curiosity as a skilled mentor might? Categorically not. Did I actually learn anything new about vintage guitars from AI? Nope. But then again, I believe, somewhat conceitedly, that I was already reasonably well informed on the topic.
“AI will be the most transformative technology of the 21st century. It will affect every industry and aspect of our lives” – Jensen Huang of Nvidia Corporation
Final thoughts on AI
In conclusion, I would suggest that AI as it stands, at least on this specific subject matter fails the Turing Test as described at the start of this article. It comes across as ‘artificial’ and the sort of assignment a student might construct from prima facie sources without thought, genuine research, analysis, insight or intellect. The clincher for me was AI’s derivative description of CRAVE Guitars, which isn’t presented as a narrative and not at all how I would (and have) articulated it.
So… Cutting to the chase, how would I rate AI’s responses compared to say, the responses of a specialist to the same questions. Probably, I’d give it about a 5‑6 out of 10 and that is, I think, being generous. AI is leaps and bounds ahead of standard Internet search engine results but still a long way behind what I would expect a rational, knowledgeable human professional to say, not necessarily in terms of what is said but definitely in how it is said. AI could do better (and it definitely will, believe me). It may best be described as ‘work‑in‑progress’.
I posited my starting position at the top of this article, written before embarking on this extravaganza. Reading it again after disembarking, my view has not shifted substantially and I think those eight criteria remain relevant, at least as of March 2024. Perhaps I am falling foul of ‘confirmation bias’, another human flaw. My bad.
Putting it bluntly, AI comes across as having no personality. Some sort of identifiable persona is, I believe, a prerequisite for passing the Turing test. Without a sense of character, AI will always seem a dry, clumsy imitation of an average human. Arguably, AI just wasn’t convincing as being interested in the subject matter. For now, I’ll stick with ‘natural stupidity’, thanks.
Like the character Sarah Connor inaccurately forecast in James Cameron’s 1991 film ‘Terminator 2: Judgment Day’, AI didn’t quite get it right, “Three billion human lives ended on August 29, 1997”. Skynet hasn’t grown up… yet. Thankfully.
CRAVE Guitars’ ‘Album of the Month’
I am not going anywhere near the mechanistic and sterile AI for this section of the article. Consequently, I’m going for one of the most organic and natural sounding albums I know (and like). Once again, it is a fairly well‑known recording, so nothing obscure or inaccessible this time around.
Cowboy Junkies – The Trinity Session (1988) – The second album from the Canadian alt‑country band, recorded live in the Church Of The Holy Trinity in Toronto in November 1987 and released in 1988. Its atmospheric beauty is partly due to its imperfections and the natural reverb of the building, all captured by a single microphone. The raw recording was purportedly not adulterated, mixed, overdubbed or edited in any way. Interestingly, the sublime, ‘Blue Moon Revisited (Song For Elvis)’ wasn’t on the original vinyl release. While not to everyone’s tastes (and otherwise probably not normally to mine either), it represents fifty three minutes of exquisite alchemy. It is 100% human in all its gentle, fragile, ragged glory – in a good way. It is hard to envisage AI ever coming up with music like this, now or in the future.
Tailpiece
Phew! That is way more than enough from me and my erstwhile AI co‑author for now. Please don’t blame me for the majority of this outing, it is mostly down to the synthetic nature of its creation. I must admit that, while a very interesting little (?!?!) project, it was ultimately a bit (?!?!) of a long and arduous slog, bordering on boring (sorry folks). I trust you can discern what was written by me and what was produced by AI.
Finally, a word of sagely counsel. Whatever we do, humanity should always strive to harness the potential of output AI/GAI/AGI for good and to guard against the risks of it being exploited for evil.
I also stated at the beginning that is only Part I of this 3‑part AI adventure! Next month, we’ll take a look at another aspect of AI and vintage guitars. I can tell you are eagerly ‘champing at the bit’ (NB. another human idiom; from ‘Joseph, A Religious Poem’ by the Reverend Charles Lucas, 1810)!
Truth, peace, love, music be with you always. Until next time…
CRAVE Guitars’ ‘Quote of the Month’: “Whoever thinks pets are non‑judgemental has clearly never been owned by a cat”
© 2024 CRAVE Guitars – Love Vintage Guitars.